Home-field is often taken into account in football, although it is also discussed in other sports, like soccer. So, does this factor truly matter? How much does it affect the margin of victory? We’ll explore the answer to these questions throughout this article.
Home-field advantage – Definition
Team-based sports often imply neutral-site matchups. However, the standard setup is often between the “home team” against “the visiting team,” who travels from another city to play.
With that being said, home-field advantage refers to the edge that the home team has for the match. This team is benefiting from playing on familiar grounds, as well as being well-rested because traveling was not necessary. The exact opposite happens with the visiting team.
Furthermore, it’s essential to take into account that the stadium facilities are filled with fans that are likely cheering up the home team, which can also be a huge morale boost for the players. Some bettors believe that home-field advantage is an essential factor to consider while handicapping games. Still, not all home teams follow the same strategies.
Why do home teams win frequently?
Many statistics suggest that home-field advantage is a very important factor to consider in the sports betting scene. For instance, home teams win about 62.7 percent of their games in the NBA. On the other hand, the winning rates in soccer range from 60 percent to 69.1 percent in Asia and Africa and in the US Major League Soccer, respectively.
Why do home teams tend to win so frequently?
Travel
It is suggested that traveling from another city to another, even to a different country sometimes, can be quite tough for players. For instance, adjusting to a different time zone and sleeping in a different place may disrupt the players’ usual pace, causing them not to be at their fullest while playing.
Please note that this is a theory. Each player’s body and metabolism work differently, and there may be special procedures when the team needs to travel to a different city, for instance.
Crowd presence
Next up, there is the crowd presence. As mentioned, the stadiums tend to be filled with home fans cheering up their team from beginning to end. Although there’s no “factual” evidence that can confirm that the presence of aficionados can influence a player’s performance, it can be a factor to consider in this regard.
Biases
While most people tend to find “technical” or “logical” explanations to why home teams tend to win games, others think that referees may be biased toward the home team. Referee biases were deeply studied by Tobias J. Moskowitz and L. Jon Wertheim in the book “Scorecasting.” The duo of authors mentions that there is convincing evidence that there could be referee bias present in most home teams, although that is not the case all the time.
How does home-field advantage affect betting odds?
After explaining all these factors, it is worth taking into account whether oddsmakers take into account home-field advantage to adjust the betting lines. The answer to this question is that most of the time, they do. This factor, along with many other variables, is taken into account. Strong home favorites may get an additional “bump” for playing on familiar grounds. However, the impact of home-field advantage may not be as high if their visiting team is part of the better clubs, too.
However, there could be a huge difference between the odds of each team if a poor road team travels to a city where a strong home team waits for them.
While we can say that home-field advantage is a factor often taken into account while deciding sports betting odds, it can be challenging to figure out how much they influence oddsmakers while building the betting lines.
It can be challenging to determine “how much” home-field advantage is worth in sports betting, as it isn’t a measurable aspect of the game and is often subject to speculation.
Summary
Home-field advantage is a term to refer to the lead that the home team receives when they’re playing in familiar surroundings. This topic is often the subject of multiple discussions. Some people believe it is an essential factor to take into account, while others prefer to think that it doesn’t truly matter. Both statements can be true depending on how you see them.
Although it could be possible that playing in a familiar environment could “boost” the team’s performance, there is no factual evidence that this factor could “matter” when it comes to deciding winners or losers.
