What sports are most predictable is a difficult question to answer definitively, as trends in most sports are frequently changing. Therefore, it’s the punters that can spot these changing trends early that often find the best value when it comes to sports betting.
Below, we’ve highlighted some trends to think about when you’re trying to predict the outcomes of horse racing, football, golf, and tennis.
How Predictable Is Horse Racing?
If you’ve ever been to a horse racing meeting when all the favourites have won, you can be forgiven for thinking that horse racing is an easy sport to predict. Sure, sometimes picking the winner of a horse race is as easy as betting on the horse with a string of ones next to its name. But horse racing is a complex sport in which you must consider many factors before selecting your bets.
A horse that has a string of ones next to its name is normally above average, but those ones have usually been earned in a variety of different quality races. Horses can win maidens and handicaps, but their run of wins can often come to an abrupt halt when tacking Group race company for the first time.
There are also many factors in horse racing that affect a horse’s performance and understanding these factors can help you improve your horse racing predictions.
The ground in horse racing can vary from heavy to firm and, while some horses perform well on all types of ground, many will have a strong preference for one type of ground. The draw, trainer form, jockey bookings, and course type are other variables that can have a big say in the outcome of how horse races are run.
The good news about horse racing is there are lots of statistics, ratings experts, and horse racing tipsters that can help you profit from betting on horse racing if you’re struggling to predict results.
How Predictable Is Football?
Sometimes you can look through the English Premier League football results and think, wow, they were obvious. Other days, the results leave you flabbergasted. Like many sports, football is difficult to predict perfectly. But there are still lots of professional football punters that make a good living from predicting football results correctly.
The big advantage of trying to predict football results nowadays, compared to 20 years ago, is that there are hundreds of different markets to bet on. These markets allow shrewd football punters to explore all the angles and find the best football bets.
For example, you might look at past head-to-heads between Manchester City and Manchester United and see that each team has won three of the last six games. They’ve also both won two at home and one away, making the outright result of the match difficult to predict.
But a further analysis of the past six matches might highlight that there have been more than 2.5 goals in each game, meaning you can bet on that outcome rather than trying to pick which team wins. Professional football punters also delve much deeper into statistics than that, and often bet on more obscure markets, such as how many yellow cards or corners there will be.
Not everything about football is predictable, but there are often patterns that you can exploit if you do your homework or pay a professional football tipster to do it for you.
How Predictable Is Golf?
There have been players that have dominated golf to such a degree that punters have been able to profit regularly from their success. But it may be a while before we find another Jack Nicklaus or Tiger Woods.
Professional golf as we know it has changed. Sure, there’s still a handful of players that typically play well and dominate the top of the world rankings, but the American college system continues to throw up an annual batch of young stars that seem ready to win in their early 20s.
The great thing about golf betting is that the bookies often offer generous prices about potential young starlets and, if you’re good enough to spot the next Dustin Johnson or Rory McIlroy, your rewards can often be a win at a big price. Of course, with over 150 players in most golf tournaments, golf still isn’t the most predictable sport in the world.
Let’s face it, if you play golf, you know that you can’t even predict how you’re going to play on any given day. Yet despite that uncertainty, there are still professional gamblers that make a living from betting on golf. They mainly do that by finding the value among less popular players and by predicting much easier match bets between two-balls or three-balls.
Is Tennis Predictable?
Tennis is a bit like golf, in that it has been dominated by a few players throughout history. Tennis fans have recently been treated to an era that has been dominated by the likes of Roger Federer, Rafa Nadal, and Novak Djokovic. But with that trio surely not too far away from retirement, it will be interesting to see which young tennis stars step up and take their place in the coming years.
Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alexander Zverev, and Dominic Thiem have already staked their claim, but also watch out for the likes of Jannick Sinner and Casper Ruud.
Of course, like many sports, predicting tennis results take a keen eye and a good understanding of the sport. It’s about knowing which players prefer which courts and how they will cope when faced with different opponents, such as fast servers or die-hard baseliners. Take the time to study the statistics and you’ll find that tennis is not as hard to predict as you might think. Alternatively, you can profit from tennis betting by following the advice of a professional tennis tipster.
What is the most predictable sport to bet on?
Betting on sports is a popular pastime for many, and the question of which are the most predictable sports often arises. According to recent research in the USA, college football offers the most value to bettors across all bet types, closely followed by the NFL. This makes college football one of the most predictable sports to bet on in terms of potential ROI.
Baseball, on the other hand, offers the lowest potential value across all bet types. Interestingly, college basketball offers a significantly higher potential ROI than NBA betting. The NHL and NBA have similar potential ROIs across all bet types. When considering the most profitable sports for moneyline betting, the order is as follows: College Football, NFL, College Basketball, NBA, NHL, and MLB.
It’s essential to note that while these statistics provide a general overview, the predictability of outcomes can vary based on numerous factors, including the teams or players involved, current form, injuries, and more.
Should I Bet On Predictable Sports?
You should never just bet on a horse, player, or team just because they’re popular and you think their results are easy to predict. You’ll often find that although many types of these bets win, they rarely offer any value.
Picking sports bets is about predicting what might happen when faced with a specific set of factors and working out that one of the less predictable results may be overpriced. Betting on outcomes that offer bigger odds than you think they should be, rather than betting on short-priced but predictable results, is how most professional tipsters profit from sports betting.
We hope that’s answered your question, what sports are most predictable. Happy punting!
